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CDC Montalegre vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CDC Montalegre host Chaves B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CDC Montalegre at 0.93 goals for, 1.17 against; Chaves B at 1.53 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, CDC Montalegre have won 0 to Chaves B's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Chaves B. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CDC Montalegre
20%
Draws
42%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chaves B lately — more wins on the board than CDC Montalegre.
  • CDC Montalegre are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 20%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre Chaves B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs CDC Montalegre
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Chaves B
0:0
Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs CDC Montalegre
2:2
Oct 14, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Chaves B
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 36 / 100
Chaves B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

CDC Montalegre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CDC Montalegre scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS Chaves B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

Chaves B

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)