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CDC Montalegre vs Maria de Fonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
74'
88' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between CDC Montalegre and Maria de Fonte finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDC Montalegre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
CDC Montalegre
30%
Draws
8%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what CDC Montalegre have produced (0.93).
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on CDC Montalegre taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 68%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Maria de Fonte
2:0
Mar 6, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Maria de Fonte
1:1
Dec 6, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs CDC Montalegre
2:2
Sep 27, 2020 Taça de Portugal
Maria de Fonte vs CDC Montalegre
1:2
Mar 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Maria de Fonte
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 95 / 100
Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: CDC Montalegre remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Maria de Fonte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS Maria de Fonte
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

Maria de Fonte

(Away)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
Maria de Fonte
1 : 2
GD Braganca
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)