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CDC Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Guerra L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between CDC Montalegre and Ponte da Barca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponte da Barca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CDC Montalegre
30%
Draws
33%
Ponte da Barca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CDC Montalegre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CDC Montalegre a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte da Barca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre Ponte da Barca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca
0:1
Aug 30, 2026 Taça de Portugal
CDC Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca
0:1
Nov 27, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca
2:0
Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal
Ponte da Barca vs CDC Montalegre
1:0
Aug 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ponte da Barca vs CDC Montalegre
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 77 / 100
Ponte da Barca 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre Ponte da Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ponte da Barca conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CDC Montalegre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CDC Montalegre found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS Ponte da Barca
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

Ponte da Barca

(Away)
01 Nov
Ponte da Barca
2 : 1
Vinhais
25 Oct
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
11 Oct
Ponte da Barca
0 : 0
Rebordosa
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)