Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CDC Montalegre vs SC Vila Real

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CDC Montalegre
35%
Draws
16%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CDC Montalegre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CDC Montalegre at 0.97 per game, SC Vila Real at 0.93.
  • Model gives CDC Montalegre a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre SC Vila Real
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 16
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs SC Vila Real
0:0
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs CDC Montalegre
2:0
Jul 25, 2019 Club Friendly
SC Vila Real vs CDC Montalegre
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 77 / 100
SC Vila Real 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SC Vila Real conceded in 73% of 41 recent games.

CDC Montalegre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: SC Vila Real has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CDC Montalegre scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS SC Vila Real
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
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SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)