Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CDC Montalegre vs Vilar de Perdizes

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Moura C.
61' Event
Christ Mendy A. N.
90'
Moreno J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CDC Montalegre
35%
Draws
35%
Vilar de Perdizes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CDC Montalegre lately — more wins on the board than Vilar de Perdizes.
  • Win probability leans CDC Montalegre's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 20%
Vilar de Perdizes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDC Montalegre Vilar de Perdizes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Vilar de Perdizes
1:1
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vilar de Perdizes vs CDC Montalegre
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDC Montalegre Compare

Top Goalscorer Moura C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vilar de Perdizes Compare

Top Goalscorer Christ Mendy A. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDC Montalegre 36 / 100
Vilar de Perdizes 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDC Montalegre Vilar de Perdizes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilar de Perdizes let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: CDC Montalegre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CDC Montalegre found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

CDC Montalegre VS Vilar de Perdizes
0.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CDC Montalegre

(Home)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 7

Vilar de Perdizes

(Away)
07 Apr
Vilar de Perdizes
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Mar
Camacha
0 : 1
Vilar de Perdizes
17 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
1 : 1
Pevidem
09 Mar
Vilar de Perdizes
3 : 1
SC Mirandela
03 Mar
Dumiense
1 : 0
Vilar de Perdizes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)