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CDFC La Calzada vs Villegas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
CDFC La Calzada Logo

CDFC La Calzada

3 - 2
FT
Villegas Logo

Villegas

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Soto D.
16' Event
Soto D.
41' Event
Padilla C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CDFC La Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CDFC La Calzada
20%
Draws
15%
Villegas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada have won more games recently than Villegas.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on CDFC La Calzada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 19%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDFC La Calzada Villegas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Villegas
3:2
Dec 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs CDFC La Calzada
2:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs CDFC La Calzada
0:3
Nov 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Villegas
4:2
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Villegas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Padilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Villegas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDFC La Calzada 67 / 100
Villegas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDFC La Calzada Villegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villegas has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CDFC La Calzada scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: CDFC La Calzada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CDFC La Calzada VS Villegas
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

CDFC La Calzada

(Home)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

Villegas

(Away)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)