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CDN Santa Cruz vs 3 de Febrero

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with CDN Santa Cruz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CDN Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
3 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CDN Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put CDN Santa Cruz and 3 de Febrero close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives CDN Santa Cruz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CDN Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CDN Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 13%
3 de Febrero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CDN Santa Cruz 3 de Febrero
Matches Played 10 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 1 1
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
CDN Santa Cruz vs 3 de Febrero
5:1
Oct 7, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
3 de Febrero vs CDN Santa Cruz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CDN Santa Cruz 84 / 100
3 de Febrero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CDN Santa Cruz 3 de Febrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDN Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

3 de Febrero let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

CDN Santa Cruz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CDN Santa Cruz VS 3 de Febrero
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CDN Santa Cruz

(Home)
09 Nov
CDN Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Real Oruro
06 Nov
Real Oruro
4 : 0
CDN Santa Cruz
02 Nov
CDN Santa Cruz
5 : 1
3 de Febrero
07 Oct
3 de Febrero
1 : 2
CDN Santa Cruz
21 Sept
Stormers SC
2 : 3
CDN Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 2

3 de Febrero

(Away)
29 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
12 : 1
3 de Febrero
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
16 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
9 : 1
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
28 Aug
3 de Febrero
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro2
Tiquipaya1
3 de Febrero2
CDN Santa Cruz7
Petrolero de Yacuiba10
Amanecer1
Fatic2
Universitario de Sucre6
Stormers SC1
Academia del Balompie12
Wilstermann Cooperativas3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Deportivo Aleman1
Oruro Royal8
Real Potosi3
Alianza Beni4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro4
CDN Santa Cruz2
Petrolero de Yacuiba5
Universitario de Sucre6
Academia del Balompie4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz2
Oruro Royal3
Alianza Beni6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro4
Universitario de Sucre3
Academia del Balompie9
Alianza Beni3
Final
Real Oruro2
Academia del Balompie3