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CE Atletic Lleida vs Alcoyano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Iniesta T.
35' Event
Llinares I.
45'
Camara A.

AI Match Summary

Alcoyano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcoyano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CE Atletic Lleida
35%
Draws
40%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Alcoyano have won more games recently than CE Atletic Lleida.
  • Model gives Alcoyano a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 18%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida Alcoyano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 12
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Atletic Lleida vs Alcoyano
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs CE Atletic Lleida
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alcoyano Compare

Top Goalscorer Iniesta T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llinares I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 28 / 100
Alcoyano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcoyano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CE Atletic Lleida scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CE Atletic Lleida went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alcoyano has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS Alcoyano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
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Alcoyano

(Away)
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)