Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CE Atletic Lleida vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Oct 1, 2025
2 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Chica S.
Own Goal
79' Event
Chica S.
(Penalty)
120' Event
Aguero J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CE Atletic Lleida
15%
Draws
49%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Ejea lately — more wins on the board than CE Atletic Lleida.
  • Win probability leans CE Atletic Lleida's way, sitting at 60%.
  • SD Ejea arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CE Atletic Lleida, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 19%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Atletic Lleida SD Ejea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Copa Federacion
CE Atletic Lleida vs SD Ejea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SD Ejea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Atletic Lleida 58 / 100
SD Ejea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Atletic Lleida SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Atletic Lleida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

CE Atletic Lleida scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SD Ejea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Atletic Lleida VS SD Ejea
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Atletic Lleida

(Home)
16 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
08 Aug
UD Barbastro
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
03 May
Andratx
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
26 Apr
Barcelona B
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Apr
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 0
SD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

SD Ejea

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
02 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0