Sport Picks

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CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Henrique M.
90' Event
Adalgisio Pitbull
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2025 game between CE Forca E Luz and Baraunas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CE Forca E Luz
15%
Draws
76%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baraunas come out ahead of CE Forca E Luz on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Baraunas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 13%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz Baraunas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
1:0
Feb 7, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:2
Jan 10, 2024 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
2:0
Mar 21, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Baraunas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
Baraunas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baraunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CE Forca E Luz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Baraunas conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CE Forca E Luz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CE Forca E Luz VS Baraunas
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6

Baraunas

(Away)
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 7 5 2 0 13:1 17
2 America RN 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
3 Laguna RN 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
4 Potiguar de Mossoró 7 4 0 3 9:7 12
5 Santa Cruz de Natal 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
6 Globo FC 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
7 Baraunas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
8 CE Forca E Luz 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)