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CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Wester
84' Event
Everton Lino
90' Event
Luiz Guilherme

AI Match Summary

Baraunas in this Potiguar 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baraunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CE Forca E Luz
15%
Draws
76%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baraunas lately — more wins on the board than CE Forca E Luz.
  • Win probability leans Baraunas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 11%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz Baraunas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
1:0
Feb 7, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Baraunas
1:2
Jan 10, 2024 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
2:0
Mar 21, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs CE Forca E Luz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Guilherme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

Baraunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Wester
1 Goals
Assists Leader Everton Lino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
Baraunas 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baraunas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baraunas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CE Forca E Luz found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

CE Forca E Luz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CE Forca E Luz VS Baraunas
0.4 Goals Scored 0.75
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
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Baraunas

(Away)
07 Oct
Visao Celeste
0 : 2
Baraunas
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 15:2 14
2 Santa Cruz de Natal 6 3 3 0 10:3 12
3 Globo FC 6 1 1 4 3:19 4
4 Potyguar Seridoense 6 1 0 5 5:9 3
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 6 5 1 0 14:3 16
2 Baraunas 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
3 Potiguar de Mossoró 6 2 0 4 9:9 6
4 CE Forca E Luz 6 1 1 4 4:15 4
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)