Sport Picks
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
Brazil
Potiguar 2024 
Match Events
40'
40'
Sampaio
43'
43'
de Oliveira Santos J. P. d. J.
90'
90'
Luiz Guilherme
AI Match Summary
The Potiguar 2024 game between CE Forca E Luz and Potiguar de Mossoró finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Forca E Luz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potiguar de Mossoró
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Potiguar de Mossoró come out ahead of CE Forca E Luz on wins alone.
- Model gives Potiguar de Mossoró a 62% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 16%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CE Forca E Luz | Potiguar de Mossoró |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.60 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
0:2
Jan 31, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
2:1
Jan 25, 2024 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs CE Forca E Luz
3:0
Mar 2, 2022 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
1:3
Jan 23, 2022 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs CE Forca E Luz
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CE Forca E Luz Compare
Top Goalscorer de Oliveira Santos J. P. d. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Luiz Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3
Potiguar de Mossoró Compare
Top Goalscorer Sampaio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
Potiguar de Mossoró 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CE Forca E Luz Potiguar de Mossoró
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Potiguar de Mossoró Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CE Forca E Luz scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Potiguar de Mossoró conceded in 53% of 36 recent games.
CE Forca E Luz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CE Forca E Luz VS Potiguar de Mossoró
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CE Forca E Luz
(Home) 08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4 ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1 Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0 CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1 CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2 Potiguar de Mossoró
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4 ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1 Baraunas
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2 Potiguar de Mossoró
30 Mar
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 4 America RN
16 Mar
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 2 Santa Cruz de Natal
Page 1 of 3
Potiguar de Mossoró
(Away) 15 Mar
America RN
1 : 1 Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 3 America RN
04 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 0 Laguna RN
28 Feb
Laguna RN
0 : 0 Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1 Globo FC
Page 1 of 8
15 Mar
America RN
1 : 1 Potiguar de Mossoró
28 Feb
Laguna RN
0 : 0 Potiguar de Mossoró
31 Jan
Laguna RN
0 : 1 Potiguar de Mossoró
17 Jan
QFC
0 : 0 Potiguar de Mossoró
11 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
0 : 1 Potiguar de Mossoró
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America RN | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Globo FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:19 | 4 |
| 4 | Potyguar Seridoense | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Baraunas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Potiguar de Mossoró | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 4 | CE Forca E Luz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (First stage - Play Offs)
