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CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Samuel
90' Event
Felipe Hulk

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2025 game between CE Forca E Luz and Potiguar de Mossoró finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Potiguar de Mossoró.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CE Forca E Luz
30%
Draws
62%
Potiguar de Mossoró
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Potiguar de Mossoró

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • CE Forca E Luz haven't matched Potiguar de Mossoró's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Potiguar de Mossoró's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Potiguar 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CE Forca E Luz Clean Sheet 16%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Forca E Luz Potiguar de Mossoró
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.91
Goals Conceded 2 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
0:2
Jan 31, 2024 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
2:1
Jan 25, 2024 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs CE Forca E Luz
3:0
Mar 2, 2022 Potiguar
CE Forca E Luz vs Potiguar de Mossoró
1:3
Jan 23, 2022 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs CE Forca E Luz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Forca E Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Potiguar de Mossoró Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Hulk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Forca E Luz 10 / 100
Potiguar de Mossoró 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Forca E Luz Potiguar de Mossoró

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Potiguar de Mossoró Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

CE Forca E Luz found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Potiguar de Mossoró let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

CE Forca E Luz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Forca E Luz VS Potiguar de Mossoró
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Forca E Luz

(Home)
08 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 4
ABC
01 Feb
CE Forca E Luz
1 : 1
Baraunas
29 Jan
America RN
2 : 0
CE Forca E Luz
25 Jan
Santa Cruz de Natal
5 : 1
CE Forca E Luz
18 Jan
CE Forca E Luz
0 : 2
Potiguar de Mossoró
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Potiguar de Mossoró

(Away)
15 Mar
America RN
1 : 1
Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 3
America RN
04 Mar
Potiguar de Mossoró
1 : 0
Laguna RN
28 Feb
Laguna RN
0 : 0
Potiguar de Mossoró
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1
Globo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 7 5 2 0 13:1 17
2 America RN 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
3 Laguna RN 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
4 Potiguar de Mossoró 7 4 0 3 9:7 12
5 Santa Cruz de Natal 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
6 Globo FC 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
7 Baraunas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
8 CE Forca E Luz 7 0 2 5 4:17 2
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Potiguar 2025 (Play Offs)