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CE Manresa vs CF Badalona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
CE Manresa Logo

CE Manresa

4 - 1
FT
CF Badalona Logo

CF Badalona

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Matheus Teixeira
19' Event
Ezzarfani M.
46' Event
Al Azami A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CE Manresa and CF Badalona finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Manresa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CE Manresa
15%
Draws
0%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CE Manresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CE Manresa come out ahead of CF Badalona on wins alone.
  • CE Manresa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CE Manresa Clean Sheet 68%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Manresa CF Badalona
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Manresa vs CF Badalona
4:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs CE Manresa
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs CE Manresa
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Manresa vs CF Badalona
1:0
Aug 18, 2021 Club Friendly
CF Badalona vs CE Manresa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Manresa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezzarfani M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Teixeira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrosa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Manresa 95 / 100
CF Badalona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Manresa CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Manresa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Badalona lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CE Manresa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

CF Badalona let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CE Manresa VS CF Badalona
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Manresa

(Home)
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Aug
Sant Andreu
3 : 1
CE Manresa
16 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 1
CE Manresa
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CF Badalona

(Away)
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
05 Sept
FC Martinenc
2 : 1
CF Badalona
29 Aug
Terrassa
4 : 0
CF Badalona
15 Aug
CF Badalona
0 : 2
Espanyol B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)