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CE Manresa vs UE Tona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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Match Events

36' Event
El Amerani B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CE Manresa and UE Tona finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Manresa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CE Manresa
15%
Draws
21%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CE Manresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • UE Tona haven't matched CE Manresa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CE Manresa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CE Manresa Clean Sheet 68%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Manresa UE Tona
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Manresa vs UE Tona
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs CE Manresa
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Manresa vs UE Tona
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs CE Manresa
5:0
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly
CE Manresa vs UE Tona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CE Manresa Compare

Top Goalscorer El Amerani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

UE Tona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Manresa 95 / 100
UE Tona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Manresa UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Manresa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CE Manresa scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

UE Tona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CE Manresa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CE Manresa VS UE Tona
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Manresa

(Home)
04 Oct
Reus FC Reddis
1 : 4
CE Manresa
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1
UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Tudelano
2 : 1
CE Manresa
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
Page 1 of 6

UE Tona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)