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CE Mataro vs UE Vilajuiga

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2008/2009 game between CE Mataro and UE Vilajuiga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Mataro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CE Mataro
15%
Draws
64%
UE Vilajuiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Vilajuiga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • CE Mataro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CE Mataro Clean Sheet 17%
UE Vilajuiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CE Mataro UE Vilajuiga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Mataro vs UE Vilajuiga
1:0
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Vilajuiga vs CE Mataro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CE Mataro 30 / 100
UE Vilajuiga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CE Mataro UE Vilajuiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Mataro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Vilajuiga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

CE Mataro found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

UE Vilajuiga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CE Mataro VS UE Vilajuiga
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CE Mataro

(Home)
17 May
Santboia
3 : 2
CE Mataro
10 May
CE Mataro
0 : 3
Espanyol B
03 May
Reus FC Reddis
4 : 2
CE Mataro
26 Apr
CE Mataro
0 : 2
Manlleu AEC
19 Apr
UE Rapitenca
2 : 2
CE Mataro
Page 1 of 6

UE Vilajuiga

(Away)
16 May
CE Europa
2 : 0
UE Vilajuiga
10 May
UE Vilajuiga
2 : 1
Banyoles
03 May
CF Vilanova
6 : 0
UE Vilajuiga
26 Apr
Santboia
4 : 0
UE Vilajuiga
19 Apr
UE Vilajuiga
0 : 1
L Hospitalet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Espanyol B 38 24 11 3 84:26 83
2 Reus FC Reddis 38 23 10 5 76:37 79
3 L Hospitalet 38 21 13 4 63:28 76
4 Santboia 38 18 12 8 58:39 66
5 Manlleu AEC 38 19 7 12 61:41 64
6 Premia 38 18 10 10 70:53 64
7 CF Vilanova 38 14 13 11 64:49 55
8 Prat 38 15 10 13 46:45 55
9 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 55:62 52
10 Amposta 38 13 10 15 62:66 49
11 CE Europa 38 13 9 16 52:55 48
12 Cornella 38 12 12 14 47:59 48
13 UD Cassa 38 10 16 12 47:52 46
14 UE Rapitenca 38 11 10 17 44:55 43
15 Blanes 38 10 12 16 58:73 42
16 Balaguer 38 10 9 19 49:58 39
17 Palamos CF 38 9 11 18 45:69 38
18 CE Mataro 38 8 12 18 44:68 36
19 UE Vilajuiga 38 7 10 21 42:80 31
20 Banyoles 38 3 9 26 30:82 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)