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CEAC/Araruama vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Christian Carioca
10' Event
Joao Maranhao
53' Event
Savio Santos

AI Match Summary

CEAC/Araruama in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CEAC/Araruama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CEAC/Araruama
20%
Draws
40%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Americano have won more games recently than CEAC/Araruama.
  • Americano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Americano
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Americano
2:1
May 21, 2025 Carioca 2
Americano vs CEAC/Araruama
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Americano
1:1
Jun 17, 2023 Carioca 2
Americano vs CEAC/Araruama
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Christian Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savio Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 28 / 100
Americano 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Americano has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

CEAC/Araruama went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Americano
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
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Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)