Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Keke

AI Match Summary

Boavista in this Copa Rio matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boavista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CEAC/Araruama
17%
Draws
13%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CEAC/Araruama lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • Win probability leans CEAC/Araruama's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Boavista
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
3-1
Apr 12, 2025 Copa Rio
Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Copa Rio
Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
1-2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Keke
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 77 / 100
Boavista 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Boavista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

CEAC/Araruama's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: CEAC/Araruama stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Boavista
1 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso2
Madureira2
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista1
Perolas Negras0
Marica0
America RJ0
Nova Iguacu1
Olaria2
Bangu0
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-