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CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama Logo

CEAC/Araruama

0 - 1
FT
Boavista Logo

Boavista

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Keke
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CEAC/Araruama
30%
Draws
43%
Boavista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CEAC/Araruama lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • Win probability leans Boavista's way, sitting at 70%.
  • CEAC/Araruama have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 15%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Boavista
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama
4:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Keke
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 15 / 100
Boavista 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Boavista let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CEAC/Araruama stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Boavista
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
Page 1 of 6

Boavista

(Away)
26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0
Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1
Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3