Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CEAC/Araruama vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Savio Santos
63' Event
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
CEAC/Araruama
30%
Draws
16%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CEAC/Araruama have won more games recently than Cabofriense.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on CEAC/Araruama taking it.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CEAC/Araruama Cabofriense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Cabofriense
1:1
May 25, 2025 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs CEAC/Araruama
1:1
May 18, 2024 Carioca 2
CEAC/Araruama vs Cabofriense
0:2
Jul 8, 2023 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs CEAC/Araruama
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CEAC/Araruama Compare

Top Goalscorer Savio Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cabofriense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CEAC/Araruama 59 / 100
Cabofriense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CEAC/Araruama Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEAC/Araruama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cabofriense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

CEAC/Araruama has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CEAC/Araruama VS Cabofriense
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CEAC/Araruama

(Home)
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1
Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0
Olaria
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Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)