Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025

Somuz Falticeni

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceahlaul II play Somuz Falticeni in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025. Somuz Falticeni are favorites here. Recently, Ceahlaul II averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Somuz Falticeni averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ceahlaul II won 0, Somuz Falticeni won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Ceahlaul II and 1.44 for Somuz Falticeni. This points to a Somuz Falticeni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Ceahlaul II

15%

Draws

64%

Somuz Falticeni

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somuz Falticeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Ceahlaul II picked up more points recently compared to Somuz Falticeni.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Ceahlaul II Clean Sheet 16%

Somuz Falticeni Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ceahlaul II	Somuz Falticeni
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	8
Draws	4	8
Losses	22	14
Goals Scored	0.73	1.07
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1

Ceahlaul II vs Somuz Falticeni

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1

Somuz Falticeni vs Ceahlaul II

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Nov 16, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1

Somuz Falticeni vs Ceahlaul II

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sep 13, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1

Ceahlaul II vs Somuz Falticeni

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul II 22 / 100

Somuz Falticeni 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ceahlaul II Somuz Falticeni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somuz Falticeni Win (2)

Secondary Pick Somuz Falticeni & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ceahlaul II attacking → ← attacking Somuz Falticeni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceahlaul II scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Somuz Falticeni let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Ceahlaul II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Somuz Falticeni lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 32

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63