Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceahlaul vs CS Turnu Severin

Romania Romania

Liga 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Marc A.
42'
Brata C.
45'
Sub
Durimel A. In: Balau M.
Out: Durimel A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2012/2013 game between Ceahlaul and CS Turnu Severin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceahlaul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ceahlaul
30%
Draws
58%
CS Turnu Severin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CS Turnu Severin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • CS Turnu Severin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CS Turnu Severin a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%
CS Turnu Severin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceahlaul CS Turnu Severin
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.71 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2013 Superliga
Ceahlaul vs CS Turnu Severin
1:0
Sep 3, 2012 Superliga
CS Turnu Severin vs Ceahlaul
1:1
Sep 23, 2009 Romanian Cup
Ceahlaul vs CS Turnu Severin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceahlaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Marc A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CS Turnu Severin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul 18 / 100
CS Turnu Severin 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceahlaul CS Turnu Severin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Turnu Severin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Turnu Severin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ceahlaul's goal record stands at 51% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Ceahlaul has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceahlaul VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceahlaul

(Home)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
Page 1 of 7

CS Turnu Severin

(Away)
27 Aug
Ripensia Timisoara
3 : 0
CS Turnu Severin
30 May
Viitorul Constanta
3 : 4
CS Turnu Severin
26 May
CS Turnu Severin
1 : 1
FCSB
20 May
Gloria Bistrita (inactive)
0 : 0
CS Turnu Severin
12 May
CS Turnu Severin
1 : 3
Pandurii
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCSB 34 24 7 3 74:29 79
2 Pandurii 34 19 6 9 57:43 63
3 Petrolul 34 16 14 4 60:34 62
4 FC Astra 34 17 9 8 64:37 60
5 Sporting Vaslui 34 16 10 8 50:34 58
6 Dinamo Bucuresti 34 16 8 10 48:40 56
7 FC Brasov 34 14 9 11 50:51 51
8 CFR Cluj 34 12 13 9 56:39 49
9 Rapid Bucuresti 34 13 10 11 35:35 49
10 Gaz Metan Medias 34 12 10 12 42:46 46
11 Otelul 34 11 10 13 38:42 41
12 Universitatea Cluj 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
13 Viitorul Constanta 34 8 12 14 45:57 36
14 Ceahlaul 34 9 7 18 41:59 34
15 Concordia 34 7 12 15 29:49 33
16 CS Turnu Severin 34 7 11 16 36:47 32
17 Poli Iasi 34 7 5 22 31:50 26
18 Gloria Bistrita (inactive) 34 3 9 22 21:69 18
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)