Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceahlaul vs CSM Pascani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 Stadionul Ceahlăul, Piatra Neamţ
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceahlaul host CSM Pascani in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Ceahlaul at 0.84 goals for, 2.16 against; CSM Pascani at 1.11 for, 2.07 against. Head-to-head, Ceahlaul have won 5 to CSM Pascani's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2024, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.56 - 2.13) back Ceahlaul to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ceahlaul
30%
Draws
23%
CSM Pascani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceahlaul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceahlaul haven't matched CSM Pascani's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ceahlaul taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceahlaul here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Pascani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceahlaul CSM Pascani
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.84 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Romanian Cup
CSM Pascani vs Ceahlaul
0:2
May 4, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Pascani vs Ceahlaul
1:2
Apr 2, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul vs CSM Pascani
4:0
Oct 30, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul vs CSM Pascani
5:3
Aug 27, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Pascani vs Ceahlaul
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceahlaul 83 / 100
CSM Pascani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceahlaul CSM Pascani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceahlaul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Pascani let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: CSM Pascani registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ceahlaul scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceahlaul VS CSM Pascani
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceahlaul

(Home)
03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1
Ceahlaul
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
Page 1 of 7

CSM Pascani

(Away)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
CSM Pascani
1 : 1
Odorheiu
23 Sept
Bradul Putna
7 : 2
CSM Pascani
18 Sept
CSM Pascani
1 : 2
CSM Vaslui
12 Sept
VSK Gyergyo
4 : 2
CSM Pascani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 7 6 1 0 17:7 19
2 ACS USV Iasi 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
3 Adjud 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Aerostar 7 4 0 3 13:8 12
5 Targu Secuiesc 7 3 2 2 16:13 11
6 FC Bacau 2 7 3 2 2 9:13 11
7 Bradul Putna 7 3 1 3 18:13 10
8 Odorheiu 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 VSK Gyergyo 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
10 Viitorul Onesti 7 1 1 5 10:12 4
11 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 2:16 2
12 CSM Pascani 7 0 1 6 7:22 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)