Sport Picks
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa do Brasil U20 
Match Events
75'
75'
Gabriel Amaral
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ceara U20 have won more games recently than Ferroviario U20.
- Ceara U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Ceara U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceara U20 | Ferroviario U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
1:0
May 23, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ceara U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Ferroviario U20 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ceara U20 76 / 100
Ferroviario U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ceara U20 Ferroviario U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ceara U20 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Solid form: Ceara U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Ferroviario U20 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ceara U20 VS Ferroviario U20
2.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 17%
75% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ceara U20
(Home) 07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0 Ferroviario U20
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3 Ceara U20
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1 Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0 Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3 Ceara U20
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0 Ferroviario U20
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1 Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0 Fortaleza U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1 Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1 Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 4
Ferroviario U20
(Away) 07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0 Ferroviario U20
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0 EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0 Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1 Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1 Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Ceara U20
1 : 0 Ferroviario U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0 Ferroviario U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1 Ferroviario U20
09 May
Vila Real U20
4 : 0 Ferroviario U20
26 Apr
Tirol U20
1 : 1 Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
CSA U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Vasco U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Bahia U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
Athletic Club U20 -
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 -
Goias U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Santos U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Athletico-PR U20 -
Gremio U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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