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Ceara U20 vs Sampaio Correa U20

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Brasileiro U20 B 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceara U20 play Sampaio Correa U20 in the Brasileiro U20 B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ceara U20 averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Sampaio Correa U20 averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Ceara U20 won 0, Sampaio Correa U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.86 for Ceara U20 and 0.88 for Sampaio Correa U20. This points to a Ceara U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ceara U20
15%
Draws
31%
Sampaio Correa U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Ceara U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sampaio Correa U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.86 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 25%
Sampaio Correa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Sampaio Correa U20
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 21 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2025 Brasileiro U20 B
Ceara U20 vs Sampaio Correa U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Amaral
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sampaio Correa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayo Fonseca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 54 / 100
Sampaio Correa U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Sampaio Correa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ceara U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ceara U20 attacking → ← attacking Sampaio Correa U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Sampaio Correa U20 let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ceara U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sampaio Correa U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 30
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U20741215:913
2Vila Nova FC U20741213:1113
3Goias U20732214:811
4Sport Recife U2073227:511
5Botafogo SP U20723211:99
6Ceara U2072239:118
7Sampaio Correa U2072149:167
8CRB U2072059:186
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ituano U20760118:318
2Criciuma U20751114:516
3Avai U20741214:1013
4Ponte Preta U20732211:911
5Coritiba U20724111:610
6Chapecoense-SC U2071244:105
7Operario PR U2071246:145
8Brusque U2070077:280