Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara U20 vs Vila Real U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kaiky
44' Event
Janderson.
64' Event
dos Santos D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ceara U20
30%
Draws
6%
Vila Real U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ceara U20 have won more games recently than Vila Real U20.
  • Ceara U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ceara U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Real U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara U20 Vila Real U20
Matches Played 38 9
Wins 26 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.16 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Vila Real U20
3:1
Jul 25, 2026 Cearense U20
Vila Real U20 vs Ceara U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaiky
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janderson.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Vila Real U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara U20 95 / 100
Vila Real U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara U20 Vila Real U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara U20's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Ceara U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vila Real U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ceara U20 VS Vila Real U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 8

Vila Real U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
25 Jul
Vila Real U20
0 : 2
Ceara U20
18 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
3 : 2
Vila Real U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2
Vila Real U20
20 Jun
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fortaleza U20 4
Ferroviario U20 0
Floresta EC U20 1
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 5
Vila Real U20 1
Tirol U20 8
Anjos do Ceu U20 0
Semi-finals
Fortaleza U20 3
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Final
Fortaleza U20 0
Ceara U20 0