Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Castelão, Fortaleza
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Lucas Lima
18'
Cayo Tenorio
24' Event
Vinicius Zanocelo

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ceara
20%
Draws
47%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceara haven't matched ABC's recent run of results.
  • ABC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • ABC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ceara Clean Sheet 17%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara ABC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.16 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs ABC
1:1
Feb 29, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs ABC
2:2
Aug 6, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs ABC
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Serie B
ABC vs Ceara
1:2
Mar 2, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
ABC vs Ceara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Zanocelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallyson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 28 / 100
ABC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

ABC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ceara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS ABC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Ceara
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
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ABC

(Away)
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
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