Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara vs ABC

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Castelão, Fortaleza
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Lucas Lima
18'
Cayo Tenorio
24' Event
Vinicius Zanocelo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa do Nordeste tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ceara
17%
Draws
70%
ABC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceara haven't matched ABC's recent run of results.
  • ABC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • ABC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ceara Clean Sheet 17%
ABC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara ABC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs ABC
1:1
Feb 29, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
Ceara vs ABC
2:2
Aug 6, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs ABC
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Serie B
ABC vs Ceara
1:2
Mar 2, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
ABC vs Ceara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Zanocelo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

ABC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallyson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 15 / 100
ABC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

ABC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ceara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS ABC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Jul
Goias
2 : 0
Ceara
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ABC

(Away)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
28 Jun
ABC
1 : 1
AE Altos
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