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Ceara vs EC Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceara host EC Juventude in the Serie B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ceara at 1.11 goals for, 1.36 against; EC Juventude at 1.28 for, 0.62 against. Head-to-head, Ceara have won 0 to EC Juventude's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back EC Juventude to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ceara
20%
Draws
42%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Juventude lately — more wins on the board than Ceara.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ceara taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EC Juventude here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ceara Clean Sheet 18%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara EC Juventude
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ceara
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie A Betano
Ceara vs EC Juventude
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Ceara
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Serie B
Ceara vs EC Juventude
1:3
Jul 23, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ceara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 36 / 100
EC Juventude 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Ceara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS EC Juventude
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
03 Oct
Avai
0 : 1
Ceara
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
8 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
9 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)