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Ceara vs Horizonte

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Castelão, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Pedro Henrique
6'
Ramos
10' Event
Matheus Araujo
Assist: Vinicius Zanocelo

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Ceara and Horizonte finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ceara
15%
Draws
12%
Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Horizonte haven't matched Ceara's recent run of results.
  • Ceara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ceara have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ceara Clean Sheet 68%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara Horizonte
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Cearense
Ceara vs Horizonte
4:0
Feb 13, 2019 Cearense
Ceara vs Horizonte
2:0
Feb 10, 2018 Cearense
Ceara vs Horizonte
2:1
Feb 9, 2017 Cearense
Ceara vs Horizonte
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Cearense
Ceara vs Horizonte
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Araujo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara 95 / 100
Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Horizonte conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ceara scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Difficult form: Horizonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara

(Home)
19 Aug
Nautico
1 : 0
Ceara
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
22 Jul
Ceara
0 : 1
CRB
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Horizonte

(Away)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Ferroviario 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
3 Horizonte 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Cearense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Floresta EC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Iguatu 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Cearense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense (5th-6th places)