Sport Picks
Ceara vs Ponte Preta
Brazil
Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza 
AI Match Summary
Ceara host Ponte Preta in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Ceara have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Ponte Preta's 0.38 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Ceara have won 1 to Ponte Preta's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.81, favoring Ceara. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ceara have won more games recently than Ponte Preta.
- Model gives Ceara a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceara | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponte Preta let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Ceara scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Ceara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ceara
(Home)Ponte Preta
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 34 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 33 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | 9 |
