Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceara W vs R4 EC W

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Women Cidade Vozão, itaitinga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ceara W
15%
Draws
42%
R4 EC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ceara W have won more games recently than R4 EC W.
  • Win probability leans R4 EC W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Ceara W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ceara W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 17%
R4 EC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceara W R4 EC W
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.7 3.95
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Cearense Women
R4 EC W vs Ceara W
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs R4 EC W
2:1
Nov 20, 2024 Cearense Women
R4 EC W vs Ceara W
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs R4 EC W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceara W 20 / 100
R4 EC W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceara W R4 EC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R4 EC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceara W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

R4 EC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

R4 EC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceara W VS R4 EC W
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceara W

(Home)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

R4 EC W

(Away)
30 May
Juventude W
1 : 0
R4 EC W
17 May
R4 EC W
1 : 2
Juventude W
02 May
Uniao RN W
4 : 1
R4 EC W
29 Apr
Criciuma W
1 : 0
R4 EC W
24 Apr
R4 EC W
3 : 1
Mixto PB W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fortaleza W 30
Hiroos Cariri W 0
R4 EC W 1
Ceara W 4
Final
Fortaleza W 1
Ceara W 0