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Cebra vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2021/2022
Sun, Oct 3, 2021
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progres Niedercorn in this Luxembourg Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Cebra
15%
Draws
65%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progres Niedercorn lately — more wins on the board than Cebra.
  • Model gives Progres Niedercorn a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cebra Clean Sheet 20%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebra Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 5 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.43 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Luxembourg Cup
Cebra vs Progres Niedercorn
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebra 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebra Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progres Niedercorn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cebra scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Cebra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progres Niedercorn
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cebra

(Home)
30 Oct
Cebra
1 : 6
UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Cebra
4 : 2
Jeunesse Junglinster
03 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
Progres Niedercorn
17 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Cebra
0 : 2
Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 3

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
US Rambrouch 1
Kaerjeng 3
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Wiltz 4
FC Schengen 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 0
Hostert 4
Koeppchen 0
Rumelange 1
Miniere Lasauvage 3
Mondercange 8
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Lorentzweiler 0
Fola 7
CS Sanem 0
Esch 2
The Belval Belvaux 0
Jeunesse Esch 3
Cebra 2
Progres Niedercorn 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Hesperange 11
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Mondorf 9
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Oberkorn 0
Dudelange 4
Avenir Beggen 2
UNA Strassen 5
FC Orania Vianden 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Victoria Rosport 6
Union Tetange 4
Union Titus Petange 5
AS Wincrange 0
Bettembourg 2
Grevenmacher 0
FC Mamer 2
Kehlen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Union Remich/Bous 0
Ettelbruck 11
Syra Mensdorf 1
Schifflange 4
Diekirch 0
Luxembourg City 4
FC Munsbach 1
Jeunesse Canach 3
Alliance Aischdall 1
Bissen 3
FC Residence Walferdange 0
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Sporting Bertrange 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
US Boevange/Attert 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Kaerjeng 3
Wiltz 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Hostert 0
Rumelange 0
Mondercange 5
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Fola 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Hesperange 1
Jeunesse Useldange 2
Mondorf 4
Alisontia Steinsel 2
Dudelange 6
UNA Strassen 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Bettembourg 1
FC Mamer 0
Kehlen 0
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 3
Luxembourg City 0
Jeunesse Canach 2
Bissen 1
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Differdange 4
1/8-finals
Kaerjeng 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
Mondercange 0
Fola 4
Esch 3
Progres Niedercorn 9
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Bettembourg 2
Ettelbruck 4
Schifflange 2
Jeunesse Canach 1
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Quarter-finals
Kaerjeng 0
Fola 4
Progres Niedercorn 0
Dudelange 2
Union Titus Petange 2
Ettelbruck 0
Schifflange 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Union Titus Petange 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Final
Dudelange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3