Sport Picks
Cebra vs Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Cebra in this Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cebra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette haven't matched Cebra's recent run of results.
- Cebra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Cebra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cebra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cebra Clean Sheet 16%
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cebra | Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 9 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 3.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2012 Luxembourg Cup
Cebra vs Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cebra 84 / 100
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cebra Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cebra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Cebra VS Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Cebra
(Home) 30 Oct
Cebra
1 : 6 UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Cebra
4 : 2 Jeunesse Junglinster
03 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3 Progres Niedercorn
17 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3 UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Cebra
0 : 2 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 3
30 Oct
Cebra
1 : 6 UNA Strassen
01 Oct
Cebra
4 : 2 Jeunesse Junglinster
03 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3 Progres Niedercorn
17 Oct
Cebra
2 : 3 UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Cebra
0 : 2 Ettelbruck
Page 1 of 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
(Away) 06 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 6 Mondercange
31 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
0 : 4 Differdange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0 Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
0 : 4 Jeunesse Canach
22 Sept
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
2 : 5 Blo Weiss Itzig
Page 1 of 2
07 Oct
Cebra
1 : 0 Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
02 Sept
FC Koerich/Simmern
0 : 1 Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch-
TBD-
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Rumelange5
Hesperange4
CS Sanem0
TBD-
Fola-
Union Tetange-
TBD-
Alliance1
Cebra3
Esch3
UNA Strassen0
TBD-
Dudelange-
Progres Niedercorn-
TBD-
Miniere Lasauvage1
Diekirch2
Mondorf2
The Belval Belvaux1
TBD-
Racing Luxembourg-
Luxembourg City-
TBD-
FF Norden0
US Berdorf Consdorf6
Victoria Rosport3
Luna Oberkorn2
TBD-
Kaerjeng-
Grevenmacher-
TBD-
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Oberkorn4
US Feulen3
Bettembourg2
TBD-
Wiltz-
Erpeldange5
FC Rodange 914
TBD-
Jeunesse Canach-
CS Petange-
TBD-
FC Brouch1
Hostert4
Bissen3
Lintgen2
FC Residence Walferdange0
US Sandweiler1
Sporting Bertrange5
Mondercange0
Schifflange1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Ettelbruck-
TBD-
Blue Boys Muhlenbach0
Mertert/Wasserbillig2
FC Marisca Mersch3
FC Mamer1
TBD-
Differdange-
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch3
Rumelange1
Hesperange1
Fola2
Union Tetange3
Cebra0
Esch1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn3
Diekirch0
Mondorf0
Racing Luxembourg2
Luxembourg City7
US Berdorf Consdorf0
Victoria Rosport2
Kaerjeng3
Grevenmacher2
Oberkorn0
US Feulen0
Wiltz4
Erpeldange3
Jeunesse Canach2
CS Petange3
Hostert4
Bissen1
US Sandweiler0
Sporting Bertrange3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
Ettelbruck2
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
FC Marisca Mersch0
Differdange3
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Fola1
Union Tetange1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn2
Racing Luxembourg1
Luxembourg City0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher4
Wiltz2
Erpeldange1
Hostert4
Bissen3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler2
Ettelbruck0
Differdange7
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch1
Dudelange0
Progres Niedercorn0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher2
Hostert1
Bissen0
Differdange2
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Kaerjeng0
Grevenmacher0
Differdange1
Final
Jeunesse Esch2
Differdange1