Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Cebrayil

2 - 3

Baku Sporting

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Achimi D.

28'

Tagiyev E.

65'

Daouda A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baku Sporting in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Cebrayil

Draws

90%

Baku Sporting

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Baku Sporting have won more games recently than Cebrayil.
Baku Sporting are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Baku Sporting here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Cebrayil Clean Sheet 13%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cebrayil	Baku Sporting
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	14
Draws	4	11
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	2	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 I Liqa

Cebrayil vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Feb 18, 2026 I Liqa

Cebrayil vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

Nov 5, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Cebrayil

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

May 1, 2025 I Liqa

Cebrayil vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Feb 27, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Cebrayil

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebrayil Compare

Top Goalscorer Achimi D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Daouda A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Tagiyev E.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebrayil 10 / 100

Baku Sporting 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cebrayil Baku Sporting

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebrayil found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Baku Sporting conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Cebrayil remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cebrayil VS Baku Sporting

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

2 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18