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Cebu FC vs Kaya FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Asano K.
31' Event
Diano M.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Cebu FC and Kaya FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cebu FC
22%
Draws
60%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaya FC's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Cebu FC have produced (1.25).
  • Model gives Kaya FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 11%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Kaya FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Asano K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 18 / 100
Kaya FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Kaya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Kaya FC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cebu FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cebu FC VS Kaya FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cebu FC

(Home)
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
20 May
Taguig
1 : 1
Cebu FC
16 May
Cebu FC
1 : 1
Manila Digger
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Kaya FC

(Away)
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
23 May
Taguig
1 : 3
Kaya FC
16 May
Kaya FC
3 : 1
Davao Aguilas
09 May
Kaya FC
2 : 2
Stallion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)