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Cebu FC vs Kaya FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Cebu FC Logo

Cebu FC

1 - 1
FT
Kaya FC Logo

Kaya FC

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Asano K.
31' Event
Diano M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Cebu FC and Kaya FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cebu FC
20%
Draws
51%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaya FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kaya FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cebu FC Clean Sheet 11%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cebu FC Kaya FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.88 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Cebu FC
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 PFL
Cebu FC vs Kaya FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cebu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Asano K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cebu FC 10 / 100
Kaya FC 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cebu FC Kaya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaya FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cebu FC found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Kaya FC let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cebu FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cebu FC VS Kaya FC
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cebu FC

(Home)
12 Sept
Maharlika Manila
1 : 0
Cebu FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Stallion
1 : 1
Cebu FC
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
20 May
Taguig
1 : 1
Cebu FC
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Kaya FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Azkals
1 : 3
Kaya FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)