Sport Picks

Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023 The Rock

Chirk AAA FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cefn Druids play Chirk AAA FC in the Cymru North 2022/2023. Cefn Druids are favorites here. Recently, Cefn Druids averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Chirk AAA FC averaged 1.16 goals scored and 2.72 conceded. In past meetings, Cefn Druids won 1, Chirk AAA FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 7, 2022 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for Cefn Druids and 0.99 for Chirk AAA FC. This points to a Cefn Druids double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Cefn Druids

15%

Draws

19%

Chirk AAA FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cefn Druids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Cefn Druids picked up more points recently compared to Chirk AAA FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 23%

Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cefn Druids	Chirk AAA FC
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	13	4
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	23
Goals Scored	1.77	1.16
Goals Conceded	2.17	2.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2022 Cymru North

Cefn Druids vs Chirk AAA FC

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

6:1

Nov 26, 2022 Cymru North

Chirk AAA FC vs Cefn Druids

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cefn Druids Compare

Top Goalscorer Grogan N.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Stephens C.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Chirk AAA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogers S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 64 / 100

Chirk AAA FC 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cefn Druids Chirk AAA FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cefn Druids Win (1)

Secondary Pick Cefn Druids & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cefn Druids attacking → ← attacking Chirk AAA FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cefn Druids scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Chirk AAA FC let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cefn Druids went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chirk AAA FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 17

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colwyn Bay	30	27	2	1	101:24	83
2	Holywell Town FC	30	26	1	3	75:22	79
3	Llandudno FC	30	20	6	4	70:23	66
4	Guilsfield	30	17	6	7	58:37	57
5	Ruthin Town	30	16	3	11	48:44	51
6	Prestatyn	30	14	4	12	66:50	46
7	Cefn Druids	30	13	4	13	48:64	43
8	Buckley	30	12	6	12	53:61	42
9	Mold Alexandra	30	10	5	15	41:52	35
10	Gresford	30	10	5	15	32:43	35
11	Porthmadog	30	10	3	17	36:53	33
12	Llanidloes Town	30	7	6	17	42:63	27
13	Chirk AAA FC	30	5	11	14	32:49	26
14	Conwy Borough	30	5	8	17	33:64	23
15	Penrhyncoch	30	3	7	20	31:72	16
16	Holyhead	30	2	9	19	24:69	15