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Cefn Druids vs Mold Alexandra

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023 The Rock, Rhosymedre
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Stephens C.
57' Event
Watkin S.
78' Event
Stephens A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cefn Druids in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cefn Druids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cefn Druids
30%
Draws
61%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Mold Alexandra have won more games recently than Cefn Druids.
  • Model gives Mold Alexandra a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cefn Druids here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 16%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Cefn Druids
3:4
Nov 19, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Mold Alexandra
2:1
Mar 8, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Cefn Druids vs Mold Alexandra
1:0
Nov 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Mold Alexandra vs Cefn Druids
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cefn Druids Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Watkin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 10 / 100
Mold Alexandra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cefn Druids scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Cefn Druids stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mold Alexandra
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cefn Druids

(Home)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Mold Alexandra

(Away)
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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