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Cefn Druids vs Mold Alexandra

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023 The Rock
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AI Match Summary

Cefn Druids play Mold Alexandra in the Cymru North 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cefn Druids averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Mold Alexandra averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Cefn Druids won 2, Mold Alexandra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2023 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Cefn Druids and 0.99 for Mold Alexandra. This points to a Cefn Druids double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cefn Druids
15%
Draws
32%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cefn Druids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Cefn Druids picked up more points recently compared to Mold Alexandra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 23%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Cefn Druids
3:4
Nov 19, 2022 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Mold Alexandra
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cefn Druids Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Watkin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 52 / 100
Mold Alexandra 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Mold Alexandra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cefn Druids Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cefn Druids & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cefn Druids attacking → ← attacking Mold Alexandra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cefn Druids scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mold Alexandra let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cefn Druids went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mold Alexandra lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colwyn Bay302721101:2483
2Holywell Town FC30261375:2279
3Llandudno FC30206470:2366
4Guilsfield30176758:3757
5Ruthin Town301631148:4451
6Prestatyn301441266:5046
7Cefn Druids301341348:6443
8Buckley301261253:6142
9Mold Alexandra301051541:5235
10Gresford301051532:4335
11Porthmadog301031736:5333
12Llanidloes Town30761742:6327
13Chirk AAA FC305111432:4926
14Conwy Borough30581733:6423
15Penrhyncoch30372031:7216
16Holyhead30291924:6915