Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cefn Druids vs Porthmadog

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023 The Rock, Rhosymedre
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Williams M.
33'
Clarke D.
34' Event
Jones I.

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cefn Druids
30%
Draws
54%
Porthmadog
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Cefn Druids have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Porthmadog taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 17%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cefn Druids Porthmadog
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2023 Cymru North
Cefn Druids vs Porthmadog
1:3
Nov 5, 2022 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids
1:2
May 2, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Cefn Druids
1:2
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Cefn Druids vs Porthmadog
2:0
Aug 5, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Cefn Druids vs Porthmadog
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cefn Druids Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cefn Druids 10 / 100
Porthmadog 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cefn Druids Porthmadog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porthmadog conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Cefn Druids found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Cefn Druids went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porthmadog
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cefn Druids

(Home)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
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Porthmadog

(Away)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)