Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cegledi vs ESMTK Budapest

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Molnar J.
15' Event
Papp G.
80' Event
Ban G.

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest in this NB III - Southeast 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cegledi
15%
Draws
85%
ESMTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest have won more games recently than Cegledi.
  • Win probability leans ESMTK Budapest's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cegledi Clean Sheet 10%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cegledi ESMTK Budapest
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 2 30
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.87 2.65
Goals Conceded 3.53 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 NB III - Southeast
Cegledi vs ESMTK Budapest
1:3
Jul 30, 2023 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Cegledi
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 NB III - Centre
Cegledi vs ESMTK Budapest
1:1
Aug 21, 2022 NB III - Centre
ESMTK Budapest vs Cegledi
3:0
Apr 3, 2022 NB III - Centre
Cegledi vs ESMTK Budapest
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cegledi Compare

Top Goalscorer Papp G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ban G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cegledi 10 / 100
ESMTK Budapest 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cegledi ESMTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cegledi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: ESMTK Budapest conceded in 50% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cegledi VS ESMTK Budapest
0 Goals Scored 2.63
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cegledi

(Home)
20 Jun
Cegledi
0 : 4
Ujpest
04 Aug
Cegledi
1 : 4
Csepel
26 May
BKV Elore
10 : 0
Cegledi
19 May
Cegledi
2 : 4
FC Dabas
12 May
Honved II
8 : 0
Cegledi
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ESMTK Budapest

(Away)
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
29 Aug
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
26 Aug
ESMTK Budapest
3 : 0
Sandorfalvi
22 Aug
Algyo SK
0 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bekescsaba 1912 30 26 3 1 86:21 81
2 ESMTK Budapest 30 20 5 5 72:28 65
3 Hodmezovasarhely 30 17 9 4 46:24 60
4 Korosladany MSK 30 16 7 7 60:43 55
5 Szolnoki MAV 30 14 7 9 54:44 49
6 Vasas II 30 13 8 9 58:41 47
7 BKV Elore 30 14 4 12 52:52 46
8 Monori 30 12 3 15 48:55 39
9 FC Dabas 30 9 8 13 40:57 35
10 Martfui LSE 30 10 4 16 49:66 34
11 Kecskemeti TE II 30 9 7 14 52:41 34
12 Honved II 30 9 7 14 53:56 34
13 Penzugyor SE 30 8 8 14 38:46 32
14 Szeged-Csanad GA II 30 6 7 17 37:46 25
15 Fuzesgyarmati 30 7 3 20 32:86 24
16 Cegledi 30 3 4 23 29:100 13
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2023/2024 (Main)