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Ceilandense vs Planaltina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2024
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

2 - 0
FT
Planaltina Logo

Planaltina

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Maycon Alagoano
72' Event
Gabriel Pedra
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2024 game between Ceilandense and Planaltina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ceilandense
15%
Draws
51%
Planaltina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Planaltina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ceilandense haven't matched Planaltina's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%
Planaltina Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Planaltina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Planaltina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceilandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Maycon Alagoano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Pedra
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Planaltina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 30 / 100
Planaltina 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Planaltina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Planaltina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Planaltina has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Planaltina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ceilandense's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Planaltina
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Planaltina

(Away)
03 Oct
Planaltina
2 : 3
Legiao
27 Sept
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Planaltina
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
13 Sept
Planaltina
2 : 0
Candango
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 9 7 1 1 24:3 22
2 Ceilandia 9 6 2 1 20:8 20
3 Gama 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
4 Brasiliense 9 6 1 2 15:6 19
5 Paranoa 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
6 Real Brasilia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
7 Samambaia 9 2 1 6 8:13 7
8 Ceilandense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
9 Planaltina 9 1 1 7 5:19 4
10 Santa Maria 9 1 0 8 3:28 3
Promotion - Brasiliense 2024 (Play Offs)