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Ceilandense vs Planaltina

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Brasiliense 2024
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Match Events

17' Event
Maycon Alagoano
72' Event
Gabriel Pedra

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2024 game between Ceilandense and Planaltina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ceilandense
6%
Draws
90%
Planaltina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Planaltina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ceilandense haven't matched Planaltina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Planaltina a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%
Planaltina Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Planaltina
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 3 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Planaltina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceilandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Maycon Alagoano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Pedra
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Planaltina Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 10 / 100
Planaltina 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Planaltina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Planaltina has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ceilandense's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ceilandense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Planaltina
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Planaltina

(Away)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
05 Oct
Planaltina
0 : 2
Brasilia FC (DF)
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Planaltina
14 Sept
Planaltina
6 : 0
Riacho City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital971124:322
2Ceilandia962120:820
3Gama962117:520
4Brasiliense961215:619
5Paranoa953113:818
6Real Brasilia92259:148
7Samambaia92168:137
8Ceilandense92169:197
9Planaltina91175:194
10Santa Maria91083:283
Promotion - Brasiliense 2024 (Play Offs)