Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Ceilandense and Santa Maria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceilandense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ceilandense haven't matched Santa Maria's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ceilandense's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ceilandense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ceilandense | Santa Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.
Difficult form: Santa Maria registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Ceilandense scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ceilandense
(Home)Santa Maria
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luziania | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Brasiliense | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 14:4 | 23 |
| 3 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Sobradinho | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Gama | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Unai EC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Santa Maria | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Bosque Formosa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Ceilandense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Capital | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 12 | Legiao | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:19 | 7 |
