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Ceilandense vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 game between Ceilandense and Sobradinho finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ceilandense
20%
Draws
51%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sobradinho come out ahead of Ceilandense on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sobradinho taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sobradinho have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 15%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandense Sobradinho
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 5 22
Draws 6 10
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
1:3
Mar 8, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
0:3
Mar 25, 2015 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Ceilandense
3:0
Feb 12, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Sobradinho
0:4
Feb 16, 2013 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Ceilandense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandense 27 / 100
Sobradinho 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandense Sobradinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sobradinho has conceded goals in 65% of their last 40 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ceilandense scored in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Ceilandense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandense VS Sobradinho
1.2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
80% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandense

(Home)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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Sobradinho

(Away)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)