Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandia U20 vs Gama U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ceilandia U20
35%
Draws
32%
Gama U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Gama U20 have won more games recently than Ceilandia U20.
  • Gama U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Gama U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceilandia U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ceilandia U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gama U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia U20 Gama U20
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.64 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.91 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Gama U20 vs Ceilandia U20
6:1
Jul 30, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Gama U20
1:0
May 1, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gama U20 vs Ceilandia U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia U20 10 / 100
Gama U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia U20 Gama U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia U20 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Gama U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ceilandia U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia U20 VS Gama U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2
Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6
Canaa U20
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Gama U20

(Away)
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
18 Jul
Gama U20
0 : 0
Sobradinho U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
07 Jul
Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20
1 : 0
Gama U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3
Candango U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceilandia U20 2
Gremio Valparaiso U20 1
Planaltina U20 6
Real Brasilia U20 2
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 1
Legiao U20 0
Gama U20 5
Luziania U20 2
Semi-finals
Ceilandia U20 5
Planaltina U20 1
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 2
Gama U20 3
Final
Ceilandia U20 1
Gama U20 0