Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ceilandia U20
20%
Draws
44%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gremio Valparaiso U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandia U20.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandia U20 taking it.
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceilandia U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia U20 Gremio Valparaiso U20
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.91 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:2
May 17, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
4:0
Jul 10, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
2:1
Jul 7, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20 vs Ceilandia U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia U20 34 / 100
Gremio Valparaiso U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia U20 Gremio Valparaiso U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Ceilandia U20 scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Gremio Valparaiso U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Ceilandia U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia U20 VS Gremio Valparaiso U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Santa Maria U20
2 : 2
Ceilandia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandia U20
1 : 6
Canaa U20
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Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceilandia U20 2
Gremio Valparaiso U20 1
Planaltina U20 6
Real Brasilia U20 2
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 1
Legiao U20 0
Gama U20 5
Luziania U20 2
Semi-finals
Ceilandia U20 5
Planaltina U20 1
Clube Atletico Taguatinga U20 2
Gama U20 3
Final
Ceilandia U20 1
Gama U20 0