Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ceilandia vs ARUC

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estadio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Abadiao)
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Magdiel
46' Event
Patrickao
60' Event
Patrickao

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ceilandia
6%
Draws
4%
ARUC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ARUC haven't matched Ceilandia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ceilandia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 68%
ARUC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia ARUC
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs ARUC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceilandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrickao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Magdiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ARUC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 95 / 100
ARUC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia ARUC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ceilandia scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: ARUC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

ARUC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS ARUC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama972015:423
2Samambaia962121:520
3Sobradinho952211:817
4Ceilandia951317:1216
5Capital943219:1015
6Brasiliense943213:715
7Real Brasilia931511:1310
8Paranoa92078:246
9Brasilia FC (DF)91084:193
10ARUC91083:203