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Ceilandia vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2011
Ceilandia Logo

Ceilandia

3 - 2
FT
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ceilandia
30%
Draws
0%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ceilandia have won more games recently than Botafogo DF.
  • Win probability leans Ceilandia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 18%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia Botafogo DF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Botafogo DF
1:1
Mar 17, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Botafogo DF
3:1
Mar 9, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Botafogo DF
3:2
Jan 29, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandia
1:1
Apr 7, 2010 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Ceilandia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 85 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceilandia found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Botafogo DF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Botafogo DF lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia

(Home)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 7

Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 4 0 27:8 34
2 Bosque Formosa 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
3 Botafogo DF 14 5 7 2 21:16 22
4 Gama 14 5 6 3 22:15 21
5 Ceilandia 14 5 6 3 19:16 21
6 Ceilandense 14 4 3 7 13:20 15
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
8 Candango 14 1 1 12 17:40 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 (Second stage)