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Ceilandia vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2005
Ceilandia Logo

Ceilandia

3 - 1
FT
Candango Logo

Candango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceilandia in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ceilandia
30%
Draws
0%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ceilandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ceilandia lately — more wins on the board than Candango.
  • Ceilandia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ceilandia Clean Sheet 18%
Candango Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceilandia Candango
Matches Played 43 31
Wins 19 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.49 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 3.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2011 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Candango
4:3
Jan 26, 2011 Brasiliense
Candango vs Ceilandia
4:2
Feb 23, 2005 Brasiliense
Ceilandia vs Candango
3:1
Jan 23, 2005 Brasiliense
Candango vs Ceilandia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceilandia 85 / 100
Candango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceilandia Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceilandia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ceilandia scored in 86% of their last 43 outings.

Defensive concern: Candango conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Difficult form: Candango registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ceilandia VS Candango
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceilandia

(Home)
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
20 Jun
Ceilandia
1 : 2
Luverdense
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Ceilandia
1 : 1
Goiatuba EC
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 9

Candango

(Away)
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Cruzeiro FC
5 : 0
Candango
14 Sept
Candango
3 : 4
Gremio Valparaiso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 10 8 2 0 29:10 26
2 Paranoa 10 6 1 3 21:13 19
3 Candango 10 5 4 1 21:12 19
4 Real Brasilia 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
5 Sobradinho 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
6 Bandeirante DF 10 0 1 9 10:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 10 7 3 0 20:7 24
2 Gama 10 6 3 1 18:10 21
3 Luziania 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Unai EC 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
5 Guara 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
6 Santa Maria 10 0 4 6 12:25 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)