Sport Picks
Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Celaya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Celaya come out ahead of Cimarrones de Sonora on wins alone.
- Model gives Celaya a 44% chance of winning this.
- Celaya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Celaya, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celaya | Cimarrones de Sonora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celaya's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Celaya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Cimarrones de Sonora has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
