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Celaya vs Heroes de Zaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Celaya Logo

Celaya

4 - 0
FT
Heroes de Zaci Logo

Heroes de Zaci

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hernandez J.
41' Event
Recalde B.
44' Event
Hernandez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celaya in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Celaya
20%
Draws
7%
Heroes de Zaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celaya lately — more wins on the board than Heroes de Zaci.
  • Model gives Celaya a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Celaya Clean Sheet 20%
Heroes de Zaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya Heroes de Zaci
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Heroes de Zaci vs Celaya
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Heroes de Zaci
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Recalde B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Heroes de Zaci Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 85 / 100
Heroes de Zaci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya Heroes de Zaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Celaya scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Heroes de Zaci has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Celaya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Heroes de Zaci
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya

(Home)
06 Oct
Celaya
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
26 Sept
Deportiva Venados
2 : 3
Celaya
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0
Tapachula
Page 1 of 6

Heroes de Zaci

(Away)
01 Oct
Heroes de Zaci
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
30 Sept
Correcaminos 2
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
26 Sept
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
15 Sept
Vaqueros
1 : 1
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)