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Celaya vs Neza FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Celaya Logo

Celaya

6 - 0
FT
Neza FC Logo

Neza FC

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
14' Event
40' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Celaya and Neza FC finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Celaya
20%
Draws
0%
Neza FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Celaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celaya come out ahead of Neza FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Celaya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Celaya Clean Sheet 20%
Neza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celaya Neza FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.29 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Celaya vs Neza FC
6:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Neza FC vs Celaya
3:2
Mar 17, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Neza FC vs Celaya
1:1
Oct 7, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Neza FC
1:2
Apr 8, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Celaya vs Neza FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celaya 85 / 100
Neza FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celaya Neza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celaya scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Neza FC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Celaya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Celaya VS Neza FC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.83
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Celaya

(Home)
20 Sept
Celaya
2 : 1
Montaneses
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
06 Sept
Celaya
2 : 0
Tapachula
29 Aug
Pioneros
0 : 3
Celaya
26 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora
2 : 2
Celaya
Page 1 of 6

Neza FC

(Away)
11 Apr
Deportiva Venados
7 : 1
Neza FC
05 Apr
Neza FC
0 : 6
Heroes de Zaci
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4
Dragones Toluca
14 Mar
Canoneros FC
3 : 2
Neza FC
08 Mar
Neza FC
0 : 3
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)