Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Celeste and Motema Pembe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celeste.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Motema Pembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Celeste carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Motema Pembe a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celeste | Motema Pembe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:0
Dec 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:3
May 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celeste 24 / 100
Motema Pembe 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celeste Motema Pembe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Celeste scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.
Motema Pembe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Celeste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Celeste VS Motema Pembe
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Celeste
(Home) 20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2 Celeste
Page 1 of 8
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
03 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Vita Club
29 May
Celeste
1 : 3 Aigles du Congo
15 May
Celeste
0 : 1 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 4
Motema Pembe
(Away) 18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)