Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Celeste and Motema Pembe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celeste.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motema Pembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Celeste carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Motema Pembe a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Celeste Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Celeste | Motema Pembe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:0
Dec 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Motema Pembe
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
0:3
May 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Celeste
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Celeste 24 / 100
Motema Pembe 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Celeste Motema Pembe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motema Pembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motema Pembe has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Celeste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Celeste scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Celeste VS Motema Pembe
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Celeste
(Home) 20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1 Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2 Celeste
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1 Simba
03 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Vita Club
29 May
Celeste
1 : 3 Aigles du Congo
15 May
Celeste
0 : 1 St Eloi Lupopo
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Motema Pembe
(Away) 18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
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18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
